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LOL RUSSIA - Andrew Auernheimer — LiveJournal
Oðinnsson. Market abuser. Internationally notorious computer criminal.
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nightcity From: nightcity Date: April 11th, 2010 03:20 am (UTC) (link)
How does killing the president dissuade Polish and international companies from drilling for shale gas?
weev From: weev Date: April 11th, 2010 05:54 am (UTC) (link)
As stated in a previous comment,

"So any delay of the drilling of the Polish shale gas reserves means trillions for the Jews."

80% of Europe's gas supply is flowing through the Ukraine pipeline. This is a situation where a delay of even a month means a metric fuckload of wealth of size unimaginable.
nightcity From: nightcity Date: April 11th, 2010 07:45 am (UTC) (link)
Okay, so how does killing the president delay Polish and international companies from drilling for shale gas?

I just don't see how this improves anything for Gazprom.
weev From: weev Date: April 11th, 2010 08:07 am (UTC) (link)
You think eradicating the entirety of the executive cabinet doesn't reduce the efficiency of the Polish government?

Edited at 2010-04-11 08:07 am (UTC)
weev From: weev Date: April 11th, 2010 08:25 am (UTC) (link)
Okay so, I used to be a commodities trader. The number of government organizations I need to work with and have some stamp of approval from to say, have goods bought on the Mumbai Multi Commodity Exchange and have the asset certified in a county that is not India is no less than 6, and as many as 11. This is over what is theoretically less than six figures worth of assets.

Poland's natural gas deposits are worth over trillion dollars over the course of some years. The specifics of the valuation noone is certain of. If other shale gas resources in Europe are discovered, it will be devalued. The point is, it is worth an insane amount of money.

Natural resource rights are high-level government issues already. For a set of assets of this magnitude, and all the political strings attached to it (energy sector politics is the new cold war battle) this is an executive decision. Who gets rights to what and where is something that, ultimately, would be decided by either the President or his appointees. As it sits now, the process of getting new people in the right positions, getting them to understand the data, and having them in the necessary rhythm to handle decisions that control the fate of trillions will take time.

It'll take 2 months if they have the most brilliant people possible in this position. The Polish government has historically been inept in the post-WWII era, so I'm not expecting brilliant people. Seriously, flying a single plane with half the fucking government into potentially hostile territory? Even in an industry like financial information services which doesn't step on anyone's toes there are prohibitions against sitting any combination of more than two executives or board members on the same plane. In the Fortune 20s, they extend that to V-level executives. Insert your preferred pollacks are dumb joke here.

But yeah-- this is a huge thing absolutely in Russia's best financial and political interests.
(Deleted comment)
weev From: weev Date: April 16th, 2010 06:50 pm (UTC) (link)

Re: uh..

Yeah. They didn't know about getting gas from shale then. Poland's location insofar as naval tactics was extremely desirable-- Germany could get out to the ocean at large through the Danish straits, but until they took Poland a successful attack on Russia was not likely.
30 comments / leave comment